What Exactly Are We Building?

In January we published a roadmap with four quarters in it. Three of them are behind us now, and the product that came out the other side has a shape the roadmap never named. If you work here, hold TRUF, are weighing an investment, or just opened Truflation Predict for the first time, you have probably asked some version of the same question: what exactly is TRUF.NETWORK building? This post is the answer, in one place, with nothing left implied.

One Stack, Three Ways to Own a Market

Everything we build runs on a single stack: a SQL-native chain, an order book engine, a data layer with named publishers, deterministic settlement signed by validators, and an agent endpoint on every node. What varies is how much of it you own.

You can own your keys. Trade on Truflation Predict, hold your own collateral, and pay nothing until a position wins.

You can own the venue. Build against Trufscan’s RPC and, when it ships, TRUF Framework, and launch your own market interface on TRUF.NETWORK’s chain under your own brand.

You can own the chain. Commission a sovereign market network: a complete, independent blockchain built from the TRUF.NETWORK stack, which we stand up for you and maintain under contract. You run the validators, hold governance, and set every rule, from market types and fees to collateral and access. We have been developing this offering with partners through the summer, and this is the first time we have described it publicly.

Why the third rung exists is best explained by Robinhood. As a distribution partner, it reportedly earned about $10 million on roughly $1 billion of contract volume in a single quarter of 2025, splitting a two-cent fee with the venue. Its response was to buy an exchange. Owning the venue captures the whole fee structure; renting one captures a slice. Event markets are now large enough for that to matter: Bernstein projects $240 billion in global prediction market volume for 2026, against $25.7 billion recorded in March alone.

The Three Names You Will See

TRUF.NETWORK is the foundation. It maintains the open-source stack end to end, delivers and supports sovereign networks for partners, and will operate the validator network described at the end of this post.

Trufscan is the infrastructure business. It is the explorer you already use, and it is becoming a paid RPC service for developers, in the mould of Infura, Alchemy or Etherscan, with an SDK and, behind that, TRUF Framework.

Truflation Predict is the flagship application. It exists to show what the stack and Trufscan give anyone who wants their own prediction market, whether on our chain or on a sovereign network of their own.

Truflation is the company that started TRUF.NETWORK and remains its founding, premium data publisher. Its 200-plus live macro indexes are on the ledger today and usable by anyone in their own outcome markets.

What Shipped Since January

Truflation Predict went live on Thursday, May 14th 2026 with the NACHO tracker, a daily vessel count for the Strait of Hormuz that settled a market on maritime data anyone could verify. The markets have widened since then. Today you can take a position on Truflation CPI, BLS CPI, UK CPI, Argentina CPI, BEA PCE, Truflation PCE, Eggsflation, and CESR, the Ethereum staking rate. Index-change markets settle on an index’s rate of change rather than its level. You can now also trade directly from an order book page on Trufscan.

The fee model is simple enough to state in a sentence. Placing, resting or cancelling an order costs nothing; a 2% fee is taken on winnings at settlement; and all of it goes back out, 75% to liquidity providers, 12.5% to validators and 12.5% to the publishers whose data settled the market. The network keeps none of it.

Around the markets, the tooling is open source. The market maker and liquidity provider bots that keep Predict’s books quoted are published on GitHub for anyone to run. More than seventy data providers publish to the network today, and every one of them can compose a new stream or list a new market without asking. Node deployment is a one-click cloud image. Each node ships with an MCP endpoint, so more than seventy AI clients can read the ledger directly.

The AI Layer Is Not a Chatbot

Truman is Truflation’s macro agent, and in Predict it does real work. Ask it about the indicator behind a market or the market’s own activity and it runs an agentic session with a choice of effort levels, builds its own charts, and streams the answer back. It answers on data and on markets in the same breath because both live in the same database.

Two further pieces of the AI layer matter here. Because the ledger is PostgreSQL, the MCP endpoint on every node gives any compatible client, from Claude to Copilot, first-party access to both the data streams and the order books. Nothing sits between the agent and the chain. And a Modular Agent Address lets an agent trade on your behalf under rules you set on-chain.

Truman is also part of the sovereign offering. A partner network can ship it in the partner’s own brand as a guide for participants meeting event contracts for the first time.

Q4: Turning the Network into a Business

The first Q4 release is Trufscan RPC-as-a-service: one tiered API in front of the chain, the market indexer and the data layer, with credentials issued to developers and access paid for on-chain. TRUF Framework, the open-source React site for launching your own market interface against that API, follows it in the pipeline.

The second is the sovereign market network itself, moving from partner conversations to delivered engagements. Media properties, esports organisations and financial platforms are the first verticals we are working with.

The third connects back to January. The roadmap called Q4 “secure scaling” and described data that individual nodes could hold privately and sell. That work is now the permissioned data layer of the stack: data that must stay confidential before settlement stays permissioned until settlement needs it, on our chain and on any partner’s.

And Predict keeps widening, with new market types deploying through the quarter.

Q1 2027: The Validator Network

In the first quarter of 2027, TRUF.NETWORK launches proof-of-stake staking. Holders will be able to stake TRUF to secure the network and earn validator rewards from the 12.5% settlement share, managed by TRUF.NETWORK. We will publish the mechanics before it opens.

Three Doors

Trade with your own keys at predict.truflation.com. Build on the chain with trufscan.io, the developer docs, and the code at github.com/trufnetwork. Or, if you want to own the chain, talk to us about a sovereign market network.